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	<title>Joe D &#187; science</title>
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		<title>Lies, Damned Lies, and Tissue Culture</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/08/lies-damned-lies-and-tissue-culture/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/08/lies-damned-lies-and-tissue-culture/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 14 Aug 2011 17:20:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[lay science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[animal rights]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cancer]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cell culture]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[hiv]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[molecular biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[skepticism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[tissue culture]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=798</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[I originally wrote this in Feb 2008, and later updated it for the old Lay Science. While making sure that this website was up-to-date, it occurred to me that this post would have disappeared with the rest of the Lay &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/08/lies-damned-lies-and-tissue-culture/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>I originally wrote this in Feb 2008, and later updated it for the old </em>Lay Science<em>. While making sure that this website was up-to-date, it occurred to me that this post would have disappeared with the rest of the </em>Lay Science<em> site. I have forgotten what updates I made when it made the move, and if I were setting out to write this article today it would no doubt be a completely different style, but here, for the archives, is the original version.</em></p>
<p>If you have ever worked in a molecular or medical biology research  laboratory, chances are one of the first things you learnt was tissue  culture (or the microbiology equivalents).  Even if you know nothing  about biology, you&#8217;ve probably heard mentions of &#8220;cell culture&#8221; on the  news, or at the very least heard about the results of studies in tissue  culture.  If you hear about &#8220;cell lines&#8221;, you&#8217;ve got culture.  If you  hear about a &#8220;laboratory study&#8221; showing that your favourite chemical is  carcinogenic, you&#8217;ve probably got culture.  If you hear about new trials  on a miracle cancer cure that has been shown to be effective in  &#8220;preliminary laboratory tests&#8221;, you&#8217;ve probably got culture.  Everything  from zombie epidemics to £10,000 animal-free beef is cell culture.   Knowing a little bit about what tissue culture is, and what its uses and  limitations are, is therefore important when answering such questions  as &#8220;is my baby&#8217;s bottle poisonous?&#8221;, &#8220;is stem-cell research ethical?&#8221;  and &#8220;is vitamin C an effective cure for colds/cancer/HIV?&#8221;</p>
<p>So.  What is tissue culture (TC)?  It&#8217;s when you take specific cells  from a multi-cellular animal and grow them in a dish full of nutrients  (a mimic of your blood serum).  The point of doing this is to create a  system on which to experiment which does not require growing and killing  lots of individuals &#8212; something that is, for some reason, considered  unethical.  Especially when it&#8217;s humans you propose using.  Typically,  human or other mammalian tissues are used &#8212; especially &#8220;model  organisms&#8221; such as mice.  You can use healthy or diseased cell lines  from all sorts of different organs.  Once you&#8217;ve grown up a nice batch  of cells in your dish, you can see how they respond to your cancer drug,  environmental contaminant, or new junk food ingredient.  You can see  exactly how the behaviour of your cells changes over the minutes, hours  and days of exposure; how they recover after the chemical has been  flushed away; how your cancer drug works in dozens of different tumours;  how your junk food ingredient works in the old and young, male and  female, fit and fat; and how your environmental contaminant interacts  with other environmental contaminants.  It&#8217;s great.  If you work hard  enough, you can know everything you want to know about your chemical  within a week.  Wipe out cancer and save the world by next Monday.  At  least, that&#8217;s what the animal-rights movement would have you believe.   And the tabloid press fall for it daily.</p>
<p>Trouble is, it&#8217;s very easy to get superficially interesting answers  using TC.  Which makes it very easy to convince a journalist that you  have important results, but very difficult to convince a scientist.   That&#8217;s not to say that TC is not important.  But everything that we  measure in TC is an estimate of what happens in real life situations.   It&#8217;s a model that uses surrogate measures from which we can develop  hypotheses about what happens in reality.  A bad analogy is in order, I  think.  Suppose you are building a car.  You want to protect your future  drivers from side-on impacts.  Very early on in the design process, you  have an engineer conduct strength tests on different materials and  designs for doors.  From this, you can narrow down the field of designs,  and make hypotheses about which designs will perform best on the road.   But you can not be sure that the strongest material will provide the  best protection against injury and death.  You would want play with the  crash test dummies, before putting the car on the road.  And once the  car is on the market, you would analyse incidents.  Because when the  door is attached to the car and put on the road, a huge number of other  variables comes into play.  And so it is with, er&#8230; what was the topic  again?  Tissue culture.</p>
<p>Cells did not evolve for growth in a dish.  They evolved in the  context of cooperation with a vast number of other specialist cells in a  body.  They are not fine-tuned for survival in the absence of skin, an  immune system, a digestive system, liver and kidneys.  They are not  supposed to live like barnacles on plastic.  But if you&#8217;ve worked with  research quality cell lines, you&#8217;ll know that it&#8217;s surprisingly easy to  make them grow in a dish.  Feed them every couple of days, and they&#8217;ll  happily live for many months.  Well go and say that to the post-docs and  technicians who made it that way.  They were up until midnight  processing disgusting lumps of freshly excised tumour.  They spent  months trying out different combinations of nutrients and fungicides in  an attempt to make the cells survive longer than a week.  They may be  easy to grow now, but don&#8217;t think there wasn&#8217;t any effort involved. Billions of cells died in the process of making those few grow.   Under these circumstances, you can hardly expect the cells not have  evolved a little.  You are introducing them to a vast number of novel  mutagens by taking them away from the protection of skin.  And putting  anything into a new environment is going to mean new selection  pressures.  When you finally manage to immortalise your cell line, is it  because you&#8217;ve perfectly adapted the conditions to the cells, or  because the cells have adapted to the conditions?</p>
<p>So.  There are all sorts of reasons why TC can not be anything more  than an approximation of what is happening in real life.  A useful  approximation, but unreliable in the absence confirmatory evidence from <em>in vivo</em> and population studies.  But these are only the intrinsic limitations  of TC.  When judging the merits of TC based research, you must also take  into the account the fact that TC is easily misused and misrepresented,  and that charlatans are doing it all the time.  TC is a favourite of  cargo-cult healers and nutritionists &#8212; those who like to keep up a  superficial appearance of having a scientific basis for their quackery.   Take, for example, the shamen who pedal vitamin C as an HIV/AIDS drug  (Patrick Holford, for example) or as a cancer therapy.  They will tell  you that in TC, vitamin C has been shown to kill tumour cells, or those  cells that are infected with HIV.  Therefore, the reasoning goes, we  should abandon proven therapies, in favour of taking some vitamin  supplements.  Trouble is, you can chuck a big lump of any chemical in a  dish of cells and the cells will die.  I could pour a bag of vitamin C  into a dish of healthy cells.  They will die.  Conclusion: those vitamin  supplements are deadly poisonous.  Except that your cells will never be  exposed to a bag of vitamin C, because you have skin, a digestive  system, and kidneys.  And because people just don&#8217;t go around pouring  bags of vitamin C down their throats.  I could spit in a dish of cells  and tell you that spit is a killer.  It&#8217;s not.</p>
<p>But it&#8217;s not just charlatans that abuse TC.  Many legitimate  scientists bend the rules a little.  They may not even be aware that  they are doing it.  Take the case of Bisphenol A (BPA), something I did a  little work on a couple of years ago.  BPA is a component of some  plastics, notably bottles.  It is known to very slowly leach out of the  bottles and into your drink.  There is a little bit of evidence (mostly  from rats) to show that consuming BPA may be harmful.  And there are a <em>lot</em> of TC experiments on the chemical.  BPA is a xenoestrogen, meaning that  it mimics the activity of estrogens.  Estrogen, of course, regulates  prolactin release, and cell division (particularly in the breasts).  We  know that BPA mimics estrogens because when we put some in our dish of  tumour cells, we see that within seconds the estrogen receptors have  been activated, and all the other effects of estrogen follow.  There are  loads of results to confirm this because there are a lot of experiments  into the effect of estrogen (there&#8217;s plenty of money in breast cancer  research).  If you&#8217;re doing the experiment anyway, it&#8217;s hardly any more  effort to look at BPA.  And you can pretend that your research has  another potential medical application.  Since it&#8217;s not the <em>primary</em> aim of your research, the journal&#8217;s reviewers won&#8217;t notice that you&#8217;re  using it at a thousand times the concentration that you would find it in  the body.  So even if enough BPA does leach out of your bottle, and  even if BPA does do interesting things in the body, a large proportion  of the TC studies will be irrelevant to understanding how it does those  things, because they look at inappropriately large concentrations and  inappropriately small timescales.</p>
<p>So, next time you are flicking through the health pages of the Daily  Mail &#8212; which I know all of you like to do &#8212; engage healthy skepticism  when they update the list of miracle cures and carcinogens.  Like  statistics, tissue culture is incredibly useful &#8212; whether you&#8217;re  searching for the truth, or a convincing lie.</p>
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		<title>Genesis on genetics</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/genesis-on-genetics/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/genesis-on-genetics/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 30 Jul 2011 16:31:24 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[lay science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bible]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genesis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genetics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[religion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[skepticism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[superstition]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=459</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is another archival report, originally written for the old blog in 2008. Here&#8217;s an interesting one: Genesis chapter 30. If you think Darwin got inheritance wrong, try the Bible. 30:28 And he [Laban] said, Appoint me thy wages, and &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/genesis-on-genetics/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This is another archival report, originally written for the old blog in 2008.</em></p>
<p>Here&#8217;s an interesting one: <a rel="nofollow" href="http://skepticsannotatedbible.com/gen/30.html" target="_blank">Genesis chapter 30</a>. If you think Darwin got inheritance wrong, try the Bible.</p>
<blockquote><p>30:28 And he [Laban] said, Appoint me thy wages, and I will give it.</p>
<p>30:29 And he said unto him, Thou knowest how I have served thee, and how thy cattle was with me.</p>
<p>30:30 For it was little which thou hadst before I came, and it is now  increased unto a multitude; and the LORD hath blessed thee since my  coming: and now when shall I provide for mine own house also?</p>
<p>30:31 And he said, What shall I give thee? And Jacob said, Thou shalt  not give me any thing: if thou wilt do this thing for me, I will again  feed and keep thy flock.</p>
<p>30:32 I will pass through all thy flock to day, removing from thence  all the speckled and spotted cattle, and all the brown cattle among the  sheep, and the spotted and speckled among the goats: and of such shall  be my hire.</p>
<p>30:33 So shall my righteousness answer for me in time to come, when  it shall come for my hire before thy face: every one that is not  speckled and spotted among the goats, and brown among the sheep, that  shall be counted stolen with me.</p>
<p>30:34 And Laban said, Behold, I would it might be according to thy word.</p>
<p>30:35 And he removed that day the he goats that were ringstraked and  spotted, and all the she goats that were speckled and spotted, and every  one that had some white in it, and all the brown among the sheep, and  gave them into the hand of his sons.</p>
<p>30:36 And he set three days&#8217; journey betwixt himself and Jacob: and Jacob fed the rest of Laban&#8217;s flocks.</p>
<p>30:37 And Jacob took him rods of green poplar, and of the hazel and  chesnut tree; and pilled white strakes in them, and made the white  appear which was in the rods.</p>
<p>30:38 And he set the rods which he had pilled before the flocks in  the gutters in the watering troughs when the flocks came to drink, that  they should conceive when they came to drink.</p>
<p>30:39 And the flocks conceived before the rods, and brought forth cattle ringstraked, speckled, and spotted.</p>
<p>30:40 And Jacob did separate the lambs, and set the faces of the  flocks toward the ringstraked, and all the brown in the flock of Laban;  and he put his own flocks by themselves, and put them not unto Laban&#8217;s  cattle.</p>
<p>30:41 And it came to pass, whensoever the stronger cattle did  conceive, that Jacob laid the rods before the eyes of the cattle in the  gutters, that they might conceive among the rods.</p>
<p>30:42 But when the cattle were feeble, he put them not in: so the feebler were Laban&#8217;s, and the stronger Jacob&#8217;s.</p>
<p>30:43 And the man increased exceedingly, and had much cattle, and maidservants, and menservants, and camels, and asses.</p></blockquote>
<p>So, I think the deal here is that Jacob makes some pact where he gets  to take all of the stripey, speckled, and spotted cows, sheep, and  goats, from this other dude Laban&#8217;s stock. He does this, leaving Laban  with homogeneous flocks of plain individuals. He then attempts fraud by  making Laban&#8217;s plain individuals mate while looking at stripey things,  so that the offspring will be stripey, and Jacob can claim they are his  own. And, hey, guys, it totally worked.</p>
<p>It&#8217;s not actually at all surprising that the offspring of two plain  individuals turn out stripey, speckled, or spotty. That sort of thing is  pretty normal.  Traits can skip generations and reappear later for a  variety of reasons. It could be that one or the other trait is linked to  a dominant/recessive gene system; or that they are influenced by  complicated combinations of genes, which are shuffled in each  generation; or that they are capable of being thrown either way by  developmental switches.  Indeed, it&#8217;s possible even to speculate on  reasons why the &#8220;feebleness&#8221; of cattle might be linked to the tendency  to breed true for more traits.</p>
<p>So, assuming that the story has some basis in reality (lets pretend,  anyway), Jacob probably just developed a superstition.  A convenient  myth to explain a mysterious natural phenomenon, while allowing him to  believe that he had some influence over that phenomenon. Perhaps he  noticed some stripey pattern in the landscape one day, noticed that  there was mating going on in the vicinity of the stripes, and then  noticed the stripey lambs being born. A meaningless correlation would  then appear, superficially, to be a principle of inheritance.  From  there, the superstition would develop as the believer started counting  hits, forgetting misses, and discovering his &#8220;ability&#8221; to select the  stronger more desirable individuals as parents (or post-hoc reasoning  that because it has sired a stripey calf, it must be a strong bull).</p>
<p>Alternatively, of course, Goddidit.</p>
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		<title>AWWTM: Won’t somebody please think of the children?</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-won%e2%80%99t-somebody-please-think-of-the-children/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-won%e2%80%99t-somebody-please-think-of-the-children/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 28 Jul 2011 16:48:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cycling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[helmets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=771</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In December 2005, an article of massive importance was published in the British Medical Journal. Doctors counted up the number of children being admitted to A&#38;E with musculoskeletal injuries (breaks and sprains — many of which would have been caused &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-won%e2%80%99t-somebody-please-think-of-the-children/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In December 2005, an article of massive importance was published in the  British Medical Journal. Doctors counted up the number of children being  admitted to A&amp;E with musculoskeletal injuries (breaks and sprains —  many of which would have been caused by bicycle-related incidents) on  summer weekends  and discovered a startling pattern. A new preventative  intervention was discovered.  They authors say:</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/28/wont-somebody-please-think-of-the-children/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>AWWTM: Appendix: Bad Science Bingo in the BMA’s “safe cycling” pages</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-appendix-bad-science-bingo-in-the-bma%e2%80%99s-%e2%80%9csafe-cycling%e2%80%9d-pages/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-appendix-bad-science-bingo-in-the-bma%e2%80%99s-%e2%80%9csafe-cycling%e2%80%9d-pages/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jul 2011 16:47:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cycling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[helmets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=769</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is just a crude brain dump of a post that comes after the serious series — posts one, two, three, four, five, six, seven and eight. Sorry, I just can’t get over these extraordinary pages on the BMA’s website. &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-appendix-bad-science-bingo-in-the-bma%e2%80%99s-%e2%80%9csafe-cycling%e2%80%9d-pages/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This is just a crude brain dump of a post that comes after the serious series — posts <a title="Killer cures" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/15/killer-cures/">one</a>, <a title="So what’s the best evidence we have on bicycle helmets?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/15/so-whats-the-best-evidence-we-have-on-bicycle-helmets/">two</a>, <a title="Headline figures" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/16/headline-figures/">three</a>, <a title="What is a bicyclist?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/18/what-is-a-bicyclist/">four</a>, <a title="Would a helmet help if hit by a car?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/18/would-a-helmet-help-if-hit-by-a-car/">five</a>, <a title="Risk compensation and bicycle helmets" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/25/risk-compensation-and-bicycle-helmets/">six</a>, <a title="The BMA, the BMJ, and bicycle helmet policy" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/the-bma-the-bmj-and-bicycle-helmet-policy/">seven</a> and <a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/27/how-did-the-bma-get-bicycle-helmets-so-wrong/">eight</a>.</em></p>
<p>Sorry, I just can’t get over these extraordinary pages <a href="http://www.bma.org.uk/health_promotion_ethics/transport/promotingsafecycling.jsp?page=1">on the BMA’s website</a>. Here’s a very quick run through some of the Bad Science Bingo points that leaped out.</p>
<p>There were the canards, fallacies, and methods of misdirection:</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/27/appendix-bad-science-bingo-in-the-bmas-safe-cycling-pages/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>AWWTM: How did the BMA get bicycle helmets so wrong?</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-how-did-the-bma-get-bicycle-helmets-so-wrong/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-how-did-the-bma-get-bicycle-helmets-so-wrong/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 27 Jul 2011 16:46:04 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
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		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
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		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=767</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[In 1958, the UK licensed a drug for treating morning sickness. It worked very well. The studies all showed that pregnant women suffering from morning sickness received much relief with the drug. Three years later it was withdrawn, but not &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-how-did-the-bma-get-bicycle-helmets-so-wrong/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>In 1958, the UK licensed a drug for treating morning sickness. It worked  very well. The studies all showed that pregnant women suffering from  morning sickness received much relief with the drug. Three years later  it was withdrawn, but not before 2,000 babies were born with birth  defects — 20,000 worldwide — three quarters of whom would die in  infancy. The drug was, of course, thalidomide. It managed to get  licensed because too many of the people studying it were focused on very  specific aspects of its activity on the disease states that it was  thought to treat, and too few were stepping back and looking at the big  picture. It prevented morning sickness, therefore it worked — the logic  of the day.</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/27/how-did-the-bma-get-bicycle-helmets-so-wrong/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>AWWTM: The BMA, the BMJ, and bicycle helmet policy</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-the-bma-the-bmj-and-bicycle-helmet-policy/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-the-bma-the-bmj-and-bicycle-helmet-policy/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Tue, 26 Jul 2011 16:44:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[bma]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cycling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[helmets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=765</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[The reason I pick up the bicycle helmet theme again this week is that the BMJ is running a sidebar poll of their readers (or, more accurately, of cycling tweeters and recipients of Robert Davis’s emails ), asking whether it &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-the-bma-the-bmj-and-bicycle-helmet-policy/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The reason I pick up the bicycle helmet theme again this week is that the BMJ is <a href="http://polldaddy.com/poll/5246586/">running a sidebar poll</a> of their readers (or, more accurately, of cycling tweeters and  recipients of Robert Davis’s emails <img src='http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_wink.gif' alt=';-)' class='wp-smiley' /> ), asking whether it should be  compulsory for adult cyclists to wear helmets.</p>
<p>The BMJ is the journal of the British Medical Association, the  professional association and trade union of British doctors. Part of the  BMA’s remit it to lobby the government on issues that its members  believe are important, and it has some clout in this area. These  policies are decided by a representative democracy — a group of members  elected by region and by field. In recent years, this body has decided  that it is BMA policy to support legislation that would make helmets  compulsory for cyclists.</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/26/the-bma-the-bmj-and-bicycle-helmet-policy/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>AWWTM: Risk compensation and bicycle helmets</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-risk-compensation-and-bicycle-helmets/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-risk-compensation-and-bicycle-helmets/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 25 Jul 2011 16:30:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cycling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driver psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[helmets]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ian walker]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[john adams]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medicine]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[psychology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[risk compensation]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[road danger]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[road safety]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=758</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Some months ago I left a series on bicycle helmets hanging while I got distracted with other things. We had looked at what the best evidence for the efficacy of helmets in preventing injury in the event of a crash &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-risk-compensation-and-bicycle-helmets/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Some months ago I left <a title="Killer cures" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/15/killer-cures/">a series on bicycle helmets</a> hanging while I got distracted with other things. We had looked at what <a title="So what’s the best evidence we have on bicycle helmets?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/15/so-whats-the-best-evidence-we-have-on-bicycle-helmets/">the best evidence for the efficacy of helmets</a> in preventing injury in the event of a crash is, and some of the  reasons why we should be cautious about that evidence. We found that if  you’re unlucky enough to have been hospitalised while riding a bicycle,  you’re less likely to be there with a head or brain injury if you were  wearing a helmet at the time of the crash. We noted several ways in  which this protective effect is exaggerated and used to mislead, we  noted that <a title="Headline figures" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/16/headline-figures/">reduction in injury is from a very low level anyway</a>, and <a title="What is a bicyclist?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/18/what-is-a-bicyclist/">that the research so far done fails to provide any sub-analysis of very different riding styles</a>, such as racing cyclists, mountain bikers, and utility cyclists.</p>
<p>We also made careful note of the fact that a reduction in the rate of head injury <em>in the event of a crash</em> is a different finding to a reduction in the rate of injury and death  of bicyclists. We briefly began the exploration of what this means by  considering the fact that helmets are <a title="Would a helmet help if hit by a car?" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/04/18/would-a-helmet-help-if-hit-by-a-car/">not much defence against a motor vehicle</a>.</p>
<p>How could a reduction in head injury in cyclists who crash not mean a reduction in injury and death in bicyclists?</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/25/risk-compensation-and-bicycle-helmets/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>AWWTM: Can drivers be taught a lesson?</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-can-drivers-be-taught-a-lesson/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-can-drivers-be-taught-a-lesson/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 18 Jul 2011 16:26:54 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[at war with the motorist]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[cycling]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driver behaviour]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[driving]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[education]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evidence-based policy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[medical statistics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=752</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[M’coblogger Ed thinks there is a case for teaching drivers to behave — specifically by appeals to patriotism. Education programmes are a popular idea amongst cyclists, cash-strapped councils, and road safety types. I dismissed them as a solution that doesn’t &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/awwtm-can-drivers-be-taught-a-lesson/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>M’coblogger Ed thinks there is a case for <a title="Driver’s Ed." href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/14/drivers-ed/">teaching drivers to behave</a> — specifically by appeals to patriotism. Education programmes are a  popular idea amongst cyclists, cash-strapped councils, and road safety  types. I dismissed them as a solution that doesn’t work in my own post  on <a title="Revenge and road danger" href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/13/revenge-and-road-danger/">revenge and road danger</a>, but didn’t go into any detail. So I thought I better ask: what’s the best evidence we have about driver education programmes?</p>
<p><a href="http://waronthemotorist.wordpress.com/2011/07/18/can-drivers-be-taught-a-lesson/"><em>Continue reading at At War With The Motorist&#8230;</em></a></p>
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		<title>Model splicing</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/model-splicing/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/model-splicing/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Fri, 08 Jul 2011 16:34:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[alternative splicing]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[gene expression]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[genetics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[molecular biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[research blogging]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[reviews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[splicing]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=446</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is another archival repost, written for the old blog in January 2008. The central dogma of molecular biology, first described by Francis Crick in 1958, describes the flow of information between DNA, RNA, and proteins.[1] The central dogma is &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/07/model-splicing/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This is another archival repost, written for the old blog in January 2008.</em></p>
<p>The central dogma of molecular biology, first described by Francis  Crick in 1958, describes the flow of information between DNA, RNA, and  proteins.<small><sup>[1]</sup></small> The central dogma is interesting, but I believe that its use in  teaching is somewhat misleading and gives it undue importance.  If  you&#8217;ve come across the central dogma before, it was probably in an  undergraduate or perhaps high-school lecture, where it was casually  mentioned when explaining that gene expression involves the flow of  information from DNA sequence to messenger RNA, and from there to  protein sequence and structure.  Because we think of gene expression in  terms of the information carrying molecule, introductory biology teaches  gene expression in those terms: we think of it as a two step process of  transcription (DNA to RNA) and translation (RNA to protein).</p>
<p>Gene expression is not a two step process, and of all the steps  involved, transcription and translation are not necessarily the most  interesting.  This week&#8217;s Thursday paper is &#8220;Pre-mRNA Secondary  Structures Influence Exon Recognition&#8221;,<small><sup>[2]</sup></small> by Hiller, Zhang, Backofen, and Stamm, and it looks at a particular  aspect of one of the lesser known steps: alternative splicing.  The  story as told by introductory biology is that DNA is transcribed into  messenger RNA (mRNA): a carbon copy of the information in DNA whose sole  purpose is to convey the information from the precious DNA archive,  which is kept safely in the nucleus, out to the sites where the proteins  are produced.  In fact, the result of transcription is &#8220;pre-mRNA&#8221; (or  &#8220;primary transcript&#8221;), which undergoes a series of modifications before  it is ready for translation.  One such modification is splicing.</p>
<p>When researchers started examining the human genome, they were  surprised at how many genes they found &#8212; eventually coming down from an  estimate of hundreds of thousands, to something around 25,000.  But  they were sure there were far more proteins than that.  The reason  proteins outnumber genes is that evolution has stumbled upon an  efficient way organising things: make several proteins with a single  gene.  Thus most genes (in &#8220;higher&#8221; organisms, anyway) are split into  many &#8220;exons&#8221;, each specifying a different section of the protein  sequence, and &#8220;introns&#8221; (non-coding sequences which contain metadata).   Thus the protein coding sequence may be split into sections A, B, and C,  and the gene may have, say, three alternative versions of each; the  protein can be constructed with A1, B1, and C1, or A1, B2, and C3, or A1  and C1 alone, and so on.  Splicing is the process that organises the  exons.  WhatHiller <em>at al</em> are asking is: how does the gene expression machinery know which exons to pick for the protein desired?<a name="fold"></a></p>
<p>It has already been shown that certain sequences within the pre-mRNA,  and even features on the DNA, act as signals for the splicing  machinery, by altering how the RNA and splicing machinery interact.  At  the DNA level, alternative promoter sequences situated at different  positions upstream of the gene allow the production of a variety of  different primary transcripts.  Then there are &#8220;enhancer&#8221; and &#8220;silencer&#8221;  sites, which occur both in introns and in exons (the four are ESEs,  ESSs, ISEs and ISSs), and are collectively known as splicing regulatory  motifs.<small><sup>[3]</sup></small> We tend to talk about the information contained in nucleic acids in  terms of nucleotide sequence.  However, unlike DNA, which forms the  famous double stranded helical structure, RNAs are (usually) single  stranded, but can fold into a variety of 3-dimensional structures by  forming double stranded sections with distant regions on the RNA strand.   Often, this 3-D structure is what determines howRNAs interact with  other biological molecules.  So, the first question that Hiller <em>et al</em> asked was: what is the relationship between splicing regulatory motifs and 3-D structure?</p>
<p>This question is rather difficult to answer. Very few mRNA structures  have been empirically determined, and the methods for determining them  remain expensive and time consuming.  However, enough is known about how  these structures form to allow the creation of computer programs to  predict likely 3-D structures.  Variables affecting structure include  the locations at which protein co-factors bind to the transcript, the  length of the double stranded region that is formed by folding, the  proximity of the sections which come together to form double stranded  regions, and most importantly, energy minimisation.  Using this  knowledge, each nucleotide in the pre-mRNA is assigned a probability of  being unpaired in the folded structure.  While structure has to be  estimated, the location of the regulatory motifs is on firmer ground:  the <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.ebi.ac.uk/asd/aedb/" target="_blank">AEdb database</a> contains gene sequences for which the locations of motifs have  previously been determined experimentally.  Using the predicted  structures of these sequences, it was found that splicing regulatory  motifs are far more likely to be single stranded than the average  sequence.</p>
<p>Indicative of something interesting, but it&#8217;s not very convincing on its own.  So Hiller <em>et al</em> set out to show that alternative splicing is affected by the single-  versus double-stranded structure of splicing regulatory motifs.  They  looked at the SXN-minigene, a gene whose splice variants are already  well understood, and in which the effect of motif sequences on splicing  has already been characterised.  They engineered versions of theSXN gene  which had either silencers or enhancers (or, as a control, random  sequences of equal length) added either within a single stranded section  or within a double-stranded section.  They predicted that regulatory  motifs would be less effective when hidden in double-stranded  structures, and this is what they found.  Enhancers, whose job is to  make sure that the exon is kept, and silencers, whose job is to make  sure that the exon is removed, only worked efficiently when located in  single-stranded structures.</p>
<p>The conclusion, therefore, is that mRNA structure is part of what  they call the &#8220;splicing code&#8221; (an analogy to the genetic code, which  maps nucleotides to amino acids).  This conclusion is nothing  particularly surprising &#8212; it has long been known that many DNA and RNA  interacting proteins directly interact with unpaired nucleotides.<small><sup>[4]</sup></small> But it leads me to make a hypothesis that I&#8217;d like to put to the  splicing experts &#8212; I don&#8217;t have enough background in this field, and  have not yet had time to read up on whether it&#8217;s a plausible hypothesis,  or even a novel one.  My hypothesis is this: alternative promoters  cause a frame-shift of the transcript in terms of the regulatory motifs.   Different promoters will therefore be associated with a different set  of regulatory motifs because the transcript that they produce has a  different 3-D structure.  Is such a simple solution possible, and has  anybody else considered it?</p>
<h2>References</h2>
<ol>
<li>Crick, F. (1970). Central Dogma of Molecular Biology. <em>Nature</em> 227, 561-563</li>
<li>Hiller, M., Zhang, Z., Backofen, R., Stamm, S. (2007). Pre-mRNA Secondary Structures Influence Exon Recognition. PLoS Genetics, 3(11), e204. DOI: <a rev="review" href="http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pgen.0030204">10.1371/journal.pgen.0030204</a></li>
<li>Blencowe BJ (2000) Exonic splicing enhancers: mechanism of action, diversity and role in human genetic diseases.  <em>Trends Biochem Sci</em> 25:106-110. (Cited in Hiller <em>et al </em> 2007.)</li>
<li>e.g.  S.D.Auweter, F.C. Oberstrass &amp; F.H. Allain (2006) Sequence-specific  binding of single-stranded RNA: is there a code for recognition?  <em>Nucleic Acids Res</em> 34:4943-4959.</li>
</ol>
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		<title>Scientists bend observation to fit evolution</title>
		<link>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/06/scientists-bend-observation-to-fit-evolution/</link>
		<comments>http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/06/scientists-bend-observation-to-fit-evolution/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 20 Jun 2011 16:31:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Joe</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[lay science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[badscience]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[biology]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[creationism]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[creationist claims]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[evolution]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[philosophy of science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[science]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[scientific method]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/?p=464</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[This is another archival repost, originally posted on the old blog in feb 2009, during the Darwin 200 celebrations. I wrote the majority of this post a couple of years ago, when I had the intention to do a regular &#8230; <a href="http://joe.dunckley.me.uk/2011/06/scientists-bend-observation-to-fit-evolution/">Continue reading <span class="meta-nav">&#8594;</span></a>]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>This is another archival repost, originally posted on the old blog in feb 2009, during the Darwin 200 celebrations.</em></p>
<p><em>I wrote the majority of this post a couple of years ago, when I  had the intention to do a regular &#8220;creationist claim&#8221; feature, but for  some reason never got around to polishing and posting it at the time.</em></p>
<p>When children wish to wind each other up in an argument, they need  look no further than the chant &#8220;I know you are, you said you are, but  what am I?&#8221;  It&#8217;s a phrase to suit all occasions, and it sounds the  death knell for the ailing argument.  This week&#8217;s &#8220;creationist claim&#8221; is  an example of how creationists (and other pseudoscientists) adopt this  chant.  The following are from <a rel="nofollow" href="http://www.wellingtongrey.net/miscellanea/archive/2007-01-15%20--%20science%20vs%20faith.html" target="_blank">WellingtonGrey.net</a>:</p>
<p style="text-align: left;"><img class="aligncenter" title="Wellington Grey: Science vs Faith" src="http://farm3.static.flickr.com/2263/2182220033_85166ec83f.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="391" />Creationists do not follow the scientific method.  The Answers in  Genesis &#8220;Creation Museum&#8221; in Kentucky presents the visitor with a pair  of paleontologists: a &#8220;creationist&#8221; and an &#8220;evolutionist&#8221;, and tell you  that they accept the same data, but simply reach different conclusions  based upon it.  Paul Taylor of Answers in Genesis UK, in his talk at  Skeptics in the Pub a few months ago, told us that the difference  between creationism and evolutionism is only that the two set out with  different but equally valid assumptions &#8212; the evolutionist&#8217;s is just  that the universe is natural and material; the creationist&#8217;s is just  that the bible is the literal and infallible word of God.  Two <em>equally</em> valid assumptions, I&#8217;m sure you&#8217;ll agree.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">But the idea that creationists are looking at the data &#8212; any data &#8212;  is simply not true.  Sometimes good data is discarded; sometimes data  is invented; sometimes a piece of data only fits their conclusions  because other facts are ignored.  Most of the time, however, data is  simply irrelevant: creationists are ignorant of the vast majority of the  relevant science and evidence, and that doesn&#8217;t hinder them in their  cause in the slightest.  Creationism, it an exercise in spin; the  science is irrelevant.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The theory of evolution was discovered in the mid-19th century, when  Christianity still permeated to every corner of society, politics and  science.  Though we had begun the task of filling in those gaps in our  knowledge in which God resided &#8212; with Copernicus, Newton, <em>et al</em> &#8212; God was still the unchallenged creator of everything, especially  life, and a literal Genesis was common, even among scientists.  Indeed,  Darwin was middle-aged before the term &#8220;science&#8221; became widespread; he  would have been more familiar with &#8220;natural philosophy&#8221; and &#8220;natural  history&#8221;: defined then as the study of God&#8217;s handiwork.  Men that we now  call scientists saw themselves as investigating God&#8217;s creation, and  many thought it was a simple case of filling in the details of a story  summarised in Genesis.  When scientists in the 19th century were  convinced of the old earth and of evolution, it was <em>despite</em> their prejudices, and not <em>because</em> of them.  Upon closing the <em>Origin</em>,  Huxley kicked himself for not thinking of such an obvious idea himself:  the power of and evidence for the theory was great even then, but the  intellectual climate had prevented others from discovering it.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">When creationists accuse scientists of bending observations to fit  their theories, it suggests that they have an incomplete understanding  of the scientific method.  Creationists take the data produced by  scientists (for they have produced none of their own), and see if they  can use it to construct an argument that will convince non-scientists  that creationism is scientific.  They assume, therefore, that scientists  are doing something similar: taking the data they find, shoehorning it  into their own explanation of the world, and dressing it up to parade  for the public and seek their acceptance.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Needless to say, this is not how science works.  Observation is an  important part of science, but it is not unfocused observation.  It is  observation guided by questions specifically designed to test the truth  of theories.  Scientists do not say &#8220;lets go observe the world&#8221;, but ask  &#8220;if I observe this system, what would I expect to find, based on my  theory?&#8221;, and &#8220;what kinds of observations would I not expect to find if  my theory is true?&#8221;  Upon seeking those observations, we discover  something about the validity of the theory.  Note also that these  questions are not &#8220;what evidence should I gather to prove my theory  right?&#8221;, but, &#8220;what questions should I ask whose answers could  potentially prove my theory <em>wrong</em>?&#8221;</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">The creationist community is relatively homogeneous, consisting  primarily of the American evangelical Christianity branch, and the  Islamic branch (there are others, but they are not part of the same  phenomenon).  Their preconceptions are the same, based ultimately upon  the same story, invented by Middle-Eastern nomadic herdsmen several  thousand years ago; and their methods are the same, based upon faith,  authority and revelation.  The scientific community is not homogeneous:  it includes liberals and conservatives, people of all nations, races and  cultures, people with non-religious upbringings, and religious  upbringings including Christianity and Islam, but also Hinduism,  Buddhism, and many more besides; and its methods are based on  questioning, skepticism, and competition to make the big new  discoveries.  Scientists have their prejudices, but it&#8217;s hard to believe  that in such a large, diverse and inquisitive group, any particular  prejudice could have such a pervasive and long-lasting effect.</p>
<p style="text-align: left;">Creationist argument is sham science, put on as a PR exercise.  It is  reminiscent of the cargo cult science of alternative medicine.  It is  supposed to look like science to those who do not look too closely.   There are data used and numbers cited, and these put in the context of  an explanation of how and why the world works.  But when you look  closer, you find that the data are carefully chosen, and the numbers a  diversionary tactic.  And in place of the scientist&#8217;s toolkit &#8212;  empiricism, rationalism, skepticism, and logic &#8212; there is a creationist  toolkit: faith, revelation, and spin.  And they are so lacking in  imagination that whenever this is exposed, they can only chant &#8220;I know  you are.  You said you are.  But what am I?&#8221;</p>
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